Global warming may have dire repercussions for ectotherms (cold-blooded animals) on land and in water all across the world. According to recent research, the incidence of heat injury among ectotherms doubles for every degree the temperature rises.
It might seem obvious that ectothermic animals are severely impacted by global warming. It is well known that their body temperature and, by extension, their biochemical processes rely on ambient temperature and on sunlight.
However, the fact that heat injury doubles for every degree the ambient temperature exceeds animals’ tolerance limit surprised even the researchers who conducted the new study.
The researchers are five Aarhus University zoophysiologists who have recently published their findings in the prominent scientific journal Nature, where the study is featured on the cover. The researchers based their findings on data from prior studies on ectothermic animals.
There is a well-known relationship between the geographical distribution of ectotherms and their ability to endure ambient temperature conditions. They can only survive at temperatures that enable them to develop and reproduce, and in harsh winter and summer temperatures that are neither too cold nor too hot for lengthy periods of time.
The animals sustain injuries if temperatures exceed the threshold for what they can tolerate. These injuries accumulate over time and ultimately determine whether the species can survive under the prevailing temperature conditions.
“And the higher the temperature exceeds the tolerance level of the species, the quicker they will accumulate injuries,” explains one of the co-authors of the study, postdoc Lisa Bjerregaard Jørgensen.
The researchers have analyzed the temperature sensitivity for heat stress of 112 ectothermic species. the analysis shows that the rate of heat injury accumulation more than doubles if the temperature rises by only 1°C.
And since this is an exponential increase, a temperature increase of 2°C will increase the rate of heat injury accumulation by more than four times, while for a 3°C increase the injury rate will be more than eight times faster.
The researchers then compared their data for temperature sensitivity with models for the expected increase in maximum temperatures in connection with global warming. This data shows that the rate of heat injury for ectotherms at a global level could increase by an average of 700 percent, and in many environments on land by more than 2000 percent.
For aquatic ectotherms, the corresponding figures are 180 percent and 500 percent.
