Climate change to displace 143m people in global south by 2050 – W’Bank

 

By Abbas Nazil

The World Bank has projected that climate change could uproot as many as 143 million people by 2050, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Latin America, placing immense strain on already vulnerable regions.

The situation is already accelerating climate migration worldwide as millions face displacement from rising temperatures, intensifying natural disasters, and sea-level rise, creating what experts warn is a growing humanitarian and security crisis.

Communities living along coastlines are among the most threatened as sea-level rise, flooding, and coastal erosion continue to render homes uninhabitable, forcing entire populations to seek refuge inland or across borders.

Droughts and water scarcity driven by shifting rainfall patterns and higher evaporation rates are destroying farmlands, reducing water availability, and prompting rural families to abandon long-standing livelihoods.

Extreme weather disasters—including hurricanes, floods, wildfires, and storms—are occurring with greater frequency and intensity, causing sudden displacement and long-term loss of homes, property, and economic security.

Climate-linked disruptions in agriculture, fisheries, and other income-generating sectors have left many households without sustainable livelihoods, increasing the pressure to migrate in search of safety and stability.

The human consequences of this migration are profound, often leading to the breakdown of social structures, loss of cultural heritage, weakened community bonds, and psychological trauma for those forced to relocate.

Host countries and communities face growing economic and infrastructural burdens as they struggle to provide housing, healthcare, education, and employment opportunities for incoming climate migrants.

Human rights concerns continue to rise as displaced populations frequently face discrimination, limited access to services, and heightened vulnerability to exploitation and poverty.

Security analysts warn that unmanaged climate migration could escalate social tensions, fuel conflicts over land and resources, and contribute to global instability, terrorism, and political unrest.

Experts argue that solutions must include large-scale investment in climate-resilient infrastructure such as sea walls, levees, and green urban designs to help shield at-risk communities from worsening climate impacts.

Sustainable agriculture practices, including agroforestry and permaculture, are being recommended to strengthen food systems and help farmers adapt to extreme climate conditions.

Environmental researchers also stress the need for widespread climate education to equip communities with knowledge required to prepare for evolving risks.

Strengthening global cooperation through frameworks like the Paris Agreement is considered essential to addressing the cross-border nature of climate migration and supporting countries with adaptation and mitigation efforts.

Analysts have called for urgent action is needed to protect the rights and welfare of climate migrants, warning that without coordinated international response, climate displacement will continue rising and deepen global inequality.